as i already said, it is always scary to bet against a ranked team, especially after a sub-par performance, but this situation here is not very favorable for creighton. they are playing consectutive true road games for the first time this season, and that is not easy especially after that hard defensive battle againts northern iowa in which the biggest lead for either side was 6 pts (once). also, creighton has a huge home game against the co-leader in the mvc, wichita state on deck. creighton is 1-7 ats in last 8 before facing wichita and this meeting against wichita is one of the most important meetings for both teams in a long time. evansville is not a bad team this season. most of their losses were very close. two overtime losses, 6 other losses by 4 points or less, as well as a dog cover in a double digit loss against wichita. their only two bad games came at north carolina and vs indiana, two very good teams from major conferences. last year evansville was swept by wichita and creighton but covered both lines against wichita this season. their defense is a concern, but that defensive unit improved in three straight games after getting tortured by wichita. first they allowed 66 regulation points against indiana state, then 62 regulation points against bradley, and finally 53 points in a loss against siu. they are 15-5 ats in last 20 as underdogs, and this season alone they are 8-2 ats as dogs and 4-6 ats as favorites. they are 6-0 ats as conference dogs so far this season. i am risking two units on evansville +6.